The Premise

The Titan's Challenge (TC) is an especially treacherous Black Market Item (BMI) in the Ubisoft-owned browser game, Howrse. Each level increases the value-added to the player - but at great risk! The success of reaching the next level relies on a pass/fail probability.

So there is a high probability of reaching Level 3, but a very low probability of reaching Level 7. You may have asked yourself before - just how likely is it that I will reach Level 7 of Titan's Challenge? How long does it take to break even on Titan's Challenge in Howrse? I hope that my findings will help satiate this curiosity.

How It Works

Each Titan's Challenge returns several items, ranging from normal items that can be bought at the store, to produce grown in your meadows, or equipment built at the workshop. The TC may also give Black Market Items (BMI's). Regardless of where these items can be acquired, they can be acquired with either equus or passes. Because equus can be bought with passes, this means that the equus value of an item can be roughly converted to a pass value. Some items may not have a clear pass value - for example, the Grand Prix items such as Power of the Storm or Rank Points granted to your account. These items cannot be very clearly defined in terms of pass value, and therefore they have been omitted where needed.

The Results

From the image above, you can see that 18 Titan's Challenges returned on average 120.3 passes' worth of stuff.

This clearly appears to have a strong return on investment; however, please consider that if you don't have a passive source of Titan's Challenges, such as the divine howrse "Lips", then this would cost 30 passes.

This is fewer passes than one might expect (2 pass x 18 TC = 36 passes). The reason it only cost me 30 passes was due to occasionally finding additional TC along the way. Yes, it does result in a net pass value of 90.3 passes; however, you may not get exactly the value that you expect from those additional passes. Use it wisely...